Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas: Summary, H2H Stats, Lineups & Highlights

As Toluca prepare to host Guadalajara on March 1, 2026, with kick-off at 00:00, this MEXICO: Primera Division, Clausura fixture promises high stakes in a tightly contested title race.

Toluca, currently 4th in the standings with 15 points from 7 games, are close to the leaders with only 3 points separating them. They've earned 7 points from 3 home games this season. Their recent form has been mixed, with 2 wins and 3 draws in their last five matches. They've shown a very solid defensive record, conceding only 1 goals. At the same time, they've displayed limited attacking output with 5 goals scored.

Guadalajara, sitting 1st with 18 points, enter as favorites but face a tough test on the road, where they've earned 9 points from 4 games this season. Their recent form has been strong, with 4 wins and 1 loss in their last five matches. They've shown defensive issues, conceding 6 goals. At the same time, they've displayed a positive attacking record, scoring 9 goals.

Recent meetings between Toluca and Guadalajara have favored Toluca, with Guadalajara claiming victory in their most recent clash (3-0). Recent clashes between the two teams have been closely contested.

In their previous league match against Necaxa, Toluca recorded a 3-0 victory while lining up in a 3-4-2-1 formation. Their starting XI featured Garcia, Gallardo, del Villar, Pereira, Barbosa, Simon, Perez, Ruiz, Romero, Paulinho, Angulo. The chosen system aimed to exploit specific weaknesses in the opposition while maintaining structural integrity.

Guadalajara's last outing came against Cruz Azul, where they secured a 1-2 defeat using a 3-4-2-1 system. Their starting XI featured Rangel, Castillo, Campillo, Aguirre, Gonzalez, Govea, Gonzalez, Ledezma, Alvarez, Alvarado, Gonzalez. The chosen system aimed to exploit specific weaknesses in the opposition while maintaining structural integrity.

Looking ahead, Toluca are expected to maintain their unknown structure, Toluca and Guadalajara are expected to use their standard structures. The contest is set to revolve around midfield control, pressing efficiency, and how effectively each side manages transitions between defense and attack.

Goal trends from the last ten games across all competitions suggest a moderate number of goals: Toluca's fixtures have averaged 2 goals per game, with 4 going over 2.5 and both teams scoring in 40% of those matches, alongside 5 clean sheets. Guadalajara's games average 2.9 goals, with 6 going over 2.5 and both teams scoring in 60% of those matches, alongside 4 clean sheets. With both sides showing defensive resilience, expect a low-scoring affair.

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